Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.200016 0.231371 0.265995 0.307063 0.354450 0.407419 0.471139
2025-10-12 0.153440 0.196324 0.248568 0.316894 0.403929 0.511156 0.653434
2025-10-19 0.127884 0.175491 0.237578 0.324471 0.443017 0.599247 0.821120
2025-10-26 0.109068 0.158479 0.226605 0.327378 0.472772 0.675210 0.979097
2025-11-02 0.093197 0.142305 0.213357 0.323628 0.490634 0.734500 1.118590
2025-11-09 0.079114 0.126292 0.197565 0.313040 0.495692 0.774015 1.231636
2025-11-16 0.071801 0.119361 0.194098 0.320027 0.527262 0.855543 1.416881
2025-11-23 0.064690 0.111659 0.188209 0.321971 0.550320 0.925290 1.590171
2025-11-30 0.059275 0.105972 0.184719 0.327076 0.578576 1.005665 1.789088
2025-12-07 0.052720 0.097436 0.175313 0.320692 0.585985 1.051016 1.931809
2025-12-14 0.047472 0.090547 0.167895 0.316756 0.596877 1.102892 2.090885
2025-12-21 0.043862 0.086212 0.164507 0.319628 0.620196 1.178918 2.301845
2025-12-28 0.042204 0.085472 0.167816 0.335745 0.670744 1.311467 2.636817
2026-01-04 0.039989 0.083384 0.168337 0.346537 0.712262 1.431440 2.961411
2026-01-11 0.037710 0.080870 0.167692 0.354821 0.749503 1.546623 3.288809
2026-01-18 0.035139 0.077430 0.164765 0.357998 0.776443 1.643623 3.588974
2026-01-25 0.032161 0.072755 0.158747 0.353899 0.787434 1.708593 3.827865
2026-02-01 0.028866 0.066990 0.149770 0.342323 0.780830 1.735411 3.986068
2026-02-08 0.027453 0.065301 0.149467 0.349962 0.817622 1.859758 4.375680
2026-02-15 0.025743 0.062722 0.146888 0.352087 0.842009 1.958894 4.718092
2026-02-22 0.024424 0.060912 0.145856 0.357669 0.874960 2.080587 5.126362
2026-03-01 0.022396 0.057147 0.139855 0.350689 0.877134 2.130934 5.368523
2026-03-08 0.020723 0.054069 0.135164 0.346386 0.885330 2.196273 5.654496